Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $56.25
- Potential payout
- $12.5K
- Potential profit
- $12.44K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$43.75
Polymarket Trader
Pitchforkk
0x0a53282124062874b45d6489a95a26f62c6d7a6f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.17K
- Realized PnL
- $16.97K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $99
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.9K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $1.71K
- Potential payout
- $2.71K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $624.22
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $1.56K
- Potential payout
- $1.95K
- Potential profit
- $389.99
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$59.49
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $176
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$133.76
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $1.17K
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $136.93
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $19.17
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $973.5
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $126.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $5.5
No position
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $704.98
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $294.99
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $35
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $582.74
- Potential payout
- $629.99
- Potential profit
- $47.25
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $87.05
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $142
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $58
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38K
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $840.21
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $786.16
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $762.43
No position
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $661.57
Yes position
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?
Ends Aug 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $642.56
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $570.93
No position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $506.76
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $445.12
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $435.72
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $434.6
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $431.26
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $404
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $385.61
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $343.99
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340.15
Yes position
Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.59
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $335.83
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $332.98
No position
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $320.96
Yes position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.69
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 15.9% 1,100 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 28.9% 1,100 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 71.4% 1,399.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 22% 1,408 shares
- Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 24% 359.99 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?Yes 10.1% 492 shares
- Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 22% 100 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 52% 400 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 42% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 6,275.28 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?Yes 27.9% 499.99 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?Yes 80% 450 shares