Polymarket Trader

SadBenua

0x0a5803e48ef78b8322ecd335c6ca4b85d2274508

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.81K
Realized PnL: $9.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $1.31K
Potential payout: $4.53K
Potential profit: $3.21K
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$326.65

Yes position

Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $1.25K
Potential payout: $2.83K
Potential profit: $1.59K
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: -$274.39

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $1.69K
User PnL: -$1.1K

Yes position

Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $333.15
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$51.35

Finland position

Men's Group B - Slovakia vs. Finland

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$791.35

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $907.74
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $310.7
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $318.8

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.19K
User PnL: -$800

Yes position

Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$688.54

FC Internazionale Milano position

Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$630

Paris Saint-Germain FC position

Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $889.96
Potential profit: $889.96
User PnL: -$600

Yes position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $824.82
Potential profit: $824.82
User PnL: -$610.37

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $657.5
Potential profit: $657.5
User PnL: -$356.16

Yes position

Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $550.08
Potential profit: $550.08
User PnL: -$300

Arsenal FC position

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $447.76
Potential profit: $447.76
User PnL: -$300

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund position

Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $383.77
Potential profit: $383.77
User PnL: -$200

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $295.64
Potential profit: $295.64
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-14?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $281.69
Potential profit: $281.69
User PnL: -$200

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $262.96
Potential profit: $262.96
User PnL: -$43.72

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$150

Astralis position

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.37
Potential profit: $217.37
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $215.32
Potential profit: $215.32
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $9.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $190.1
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$38.1

Jets position

Jets vs. Sabres

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$100

Blue Jackets position

Senators vs. Blue Jackets

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.81K

Canada position

Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $754.35

Yes position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $474.68

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $463.76

Yes position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $352.12

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $331.2

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $311.11

Penguins position

Rangers vs. Penguins

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $295.46

Yes position

Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.66

Yes position

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-08?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.79

Yes position

Will FK Krasnodar win on 2025-11-30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.56

Yes position

Will FK Zenit win on 2025-11-30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.4

FC Bayern München position

Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $196.49

Yes position

Will FK Zenit win on 2026-02-27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.65

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.62

Yes position

Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.51

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.11

Yes position

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-29?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $141.99

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.98

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.67

Oilers position

Oilers vs. Kraken

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.46

Kings position

Blackhawks vs. Kings

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.69

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffs

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 42% 240.48 shares
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?

Yes 22% 136.36 shares
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?

Yes 29.4% 680.45 shares
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?

Yes 22% 454.55 shares
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 41% 108 shares
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?

Yes 21.1% 522.3 shares
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?

Yes 29% 344.83 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Yes 80.5% 865.54 shares
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Yes 49% 122.53 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Yes 57.8% 865.55 shares
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?

Yes 34% 79.05 shares
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Yes 48% 108.94 shares