Rico position
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $328.57
- Potential profit
- $328.57
- User PnL
- -$23
Polymarket Trader
Arlekinez
0x0a6b33c8e8d0c435a4522077b6baf71af9abd279
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $42.98
- Realized PnL
- $2.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.6%
- Current value
- $42.98
- Potential payout
- $53.36
- Potential profit
- $10.38
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$7.02
Khamzat Chimaev position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.69
- Potential profit
- $24.69
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Spurs position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.63
- Potential profit
- $15.63
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 14-21?
Ends Feb 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286.35
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $277.61
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 28 - March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.98
No position
Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 21-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.38
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.64
No position
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.46
No position
Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Sunday?
Ends Mar 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.33
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.4
No position
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times March 28 - April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.65
No position
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 28 - March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.92
Amosov position
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Amosov (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.16
No position
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 7-14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.56
No position
Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 14-21?
Ends Feb 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.27
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.83
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.12
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.56
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.06
Lopes position
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva
Ends Sep 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.76
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 7-14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.62
No position
Will Elon tweet 975-999 times Feb 7-14?
Ends Feb 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.25
No position
Will Elon Musk tweet 650-699 times February 7-14?
Ends Feb 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.46
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.62
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.79
Donchenko position
Noche UFC: Sezinando vs. Donchenko
Ends Sep 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 99.4% 301.81 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?No 93.7% 53.36 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 77% 64.94 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria 18% 123.45 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 90% 111.11 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria 81% 86.42 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 30% 16.67 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria 81% 12.35 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria 81% 24.69 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)Belal Muhammad 9% 20 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)Iwo Baraniewski 79% 12.66 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)Belal Muhammad 50% 20 shares