Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $91.54
- Potential payout
- $4.07K
- Potential profit
- $3.98K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$216.42
Polymarket Trader
Bikesarethebest
0x0a6d26d31b28fd5a84c301f8b27296612f3b1d0a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.75K
- Realized PnL
- $139.06K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.85
- Potential payout
- $3.69K
- Potential profit
- $3.69K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$126.63
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $3.51K
- Potential payout
- $3.66K
- Potential profit
- $146.31
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.22K
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $439.12
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $21.33
- Potential payout
- $2.84K
- Potential profit
- $2.82K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$68.71
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $804.69
- Potential payout
- $2.77K
- Potential profit
- $1.97K
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- $83.24
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.76K
- Potential profit
- $2.76K
- User PnL
- -$90.03
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $41.36
- Potential payout
- $2.67K
- Potential profit
- $2.63K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$126.67
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $78.5
- Potential payout
- $2.42K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $79.77
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $2.3K
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$60.21
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $39.19
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$55.81
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $408.37
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.93K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $28.57
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- User PnL
- -$87.36
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $66.06
- Potential payout
- $2.24K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$18.86
Yes position
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $63.47
- Potential payout
- $2.23K
- Potential profit
- $2.16K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$98.95
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $274.42
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$218.3
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $1.8K
- Potential payout
- $2.19K
- Potential profit
- $382.77
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $408.72
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $2.11K
- User PnL
- -$95.41
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $16.72
- Potential payout
- $2.09K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$66.93
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $291.91
- Potential payout
- $2.09K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $20.85
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $25.42
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $2.01K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$79.28
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $10.97
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.98K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$326.12
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- User PnL
- -$177.68
Yes position
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- User PnL
- -$82.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.75K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.12K
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.06K
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.72K
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.38K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.24K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8K
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.69K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.88K
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.82K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.69K
Yes position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.64K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.57K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22K
Yes position
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.01K
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4K
No position
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.96K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.95K
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.92K
Yes position
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No 92% 100 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No 92.2% 70.08 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No 92.9% 55 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No 92.9% 49.99 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No 93.1% 28.98 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No 93.1% 36.22 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No 93.1% 75.66 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 18.7% 73.21 shares
- Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes 9.5% 33.2 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 88% 100 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No 94.2% 70 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No 94.4% 20 shares