Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $320.63
- Potential payout
- $20.69K
- Potential profit
- $20.37K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$10.02K
Polymarket Trader
Perypery
0x0a7aaf83341b52df34e8ffef52aa295538d6df1b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23.21K
- Realized PnL
- $24.84K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $20.37K
- Potential payout
- $20.69K
- Potential profit
- $320.63
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $10.02K
Yes position
JD Vance out as VP by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $12.25
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.49K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $183.74
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.32K
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- $174.34
Yes position
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $11.9
- Potential payout
- $3.4K
- Potential profit
- $3.39K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $13.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.99K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$37.49
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $19.32
- Potential payout
- $2.97K
- Potential profit
- $2.95K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$24.68
Yes position
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $11.25
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.49K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $13.48
- Potential payout
- $2.45K
- Potential profit
- $2.44K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.46
Yes position
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $18
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.98K
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $1.52K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $479.2
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $320.8
N
No position
Will "Doctor Banner" be said during the next Spider-Man trailer?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$13.5
Yes position
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $17
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.98K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$14.2
Yes position
Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $42.46
- Potential payout
- $1.93K
- Potential profit
- $1.89K
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- -$2.34
Yes position
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $19.89
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$25.84
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $6.56
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $228.24
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $50.21
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $22.55
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.78K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$31.62
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Current value
- $177.04
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.62K
- Multiplier
- 10.15x
- User PnL
- $152.48
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $16.62
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$10.87
Yes position
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $5.89
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.68K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $23.32
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- $5.38
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $141.75
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- Multiplier
- 10.58x
- User PnL
- $112.41
Yes position
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$17.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
India military action against Pakistan before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
No position
Will Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $976.2
No position
Will Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $975.35
Yes position
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $883.84
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $828
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $817.73
No position
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $811.39
Yes position
John Daghita arrested by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $788.78
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $725
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $680.96
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $680.59
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $625.4
Yes position
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $610.65
No position
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $576.73
No position
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $561.06
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $541.66
Yes position
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $537.82
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $531.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 0.9% 1,004.67 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by June 30?Yes 1.1% 4.65 shares
- Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Yes 2.2% 250 shares
- Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?Yes 13.2% 100.48 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes 41% 213.55 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes 7.4% 750 shares
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic 23% 50 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in June?Yes 2% 750 shares
- Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 0.9% 250 shares
- Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?Yes 1.1% 157 shares
- Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?Yes 1.1% 343.2 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 15?Down 6% 1,000 shares