Polymarket Trader

0x0a81f989059975cb22c2Ab6f2Cd037979c048ece-1782617694121

0x0a81f989059975cb22c2ab6f2cd037979c048ece

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $46.97
Realized PnL: -$28.94
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $1.77
Potential payout: $54.35
Potential profit: $52.58
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.82
Potential profit: $53.82
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $36.36
Potential profit: $34.35
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.09
Potential profit: $35.09
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.67
Potential profit: $33.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.6%
Current value: $2.77
Potential payout: $19.05
Potential profit: $16.28
Multiplier: 6.87x
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.2%
Current value: $2.46
Potential payout: $18.69
Potential profit: $16.23
Multiplier: 7.60x
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.13
Potential profit: $13.13
User PnL: -$1

Team Liquid position

LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.5
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.2%
Current value: $1.79
Potential payout: $9.85
Potential profit: $8.06
Multiplier: 5.51x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $9.09
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $8.09

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $8.4
Potential profit: $5.65
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $5.63
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.05
Potential payout: $6.05
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.81
Potential profit: $5.81
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.26
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.26

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Zimbabwe win?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.57
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.57

Meiqi Guo position

ITF Maanshan: Meiqi Guo vs Evialina Laskevich

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Zizou Bergs position

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbert

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $1.85
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.72

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$84.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Up 33% 15.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Up 27% 18.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Down 1% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Down 1% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Down 1% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Down 1% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Down 1% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Down 1% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Down 1% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Down 1% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Down 1% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Down 1% 500 shares