N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $334.02
- Potential profit
- $334.02
- User PnL
- -$320
Polymarket Trader
sandstor
0x0a9039b28ebd81aa4241cc0f634c8829420fead4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $306.53
- Realized PnL
- $350.78
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $241.67
- Potential payout
- $322.22
- Potential profit
- $80.56
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$48.33
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $33.07
- Potential payout
- $42.94
- Potential profit
- $9.88
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$2.93
No position
Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $31.8
- Potential payout
- $32.22
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $18.18
- User PnL
- -$16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51.07
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.57
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.65
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.57
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.98
Yes position
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.79
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.43
No position
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.78
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.7
Yes position
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.88
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.79
No position
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.21
No position
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
Yes position
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $3.03
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99
Yes position
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?Yes 90% 322.22 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 44% 28.13 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 74.6% 28.13 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 62% 16.13 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 88.9% 236.25 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 84.7% 118.13 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 15.2% 946.31 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 95.8% 334.02 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 17.9% 335.2 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No 87% 44.83 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 18% 611.11 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 81.9% 579.68 shares