Polymarket Trader

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0x0a91866d5a0d8c4b47be51f32139668d3ef33392

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.01K
Realized PnL: -$185.45
Win rate: 28.6%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $604.5
Potential payout: $3.1K
Potential profit: $2.5K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $170.5

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.9%
Current value: $204.87
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 5.93x
User PnL: $156.24

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.7%
Current value: $81.48
Potential payout: $840
Potential profit: $758.52
Multiplier: 10.31x
User PnL: -$19.32

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $140
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $660
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $38

Yes position

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $63.75
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $686.25
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$86.25

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $748.33
Potential profit: $748.33
User PnL: -$127.22

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $362.25
Potential payout: $630
Potential profit: $267.75
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $110.25

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $174
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $226
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$30

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $399.99
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $22.23
Potential payout: $380
Potential profit: $357.77
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $2.09

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $216.78
Potential profit: $216.78
User PnL: -$19.51

No position

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$99

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $27.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $172.7
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $108
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $72
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $9

No position

Will Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $170
User PnL: -$25.5

Yes position

Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $73.78
Potential payout: $143.27
Potential profit: $69.48
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $94.29
Potential payout: $142.87
Potential profit: $48.57
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $20

No position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $29.4
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $110.6
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.99
Potential profit: $119.99
User PnL: -$52.8

Yes position

Will Casemiro score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $26.8
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $53.2
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will Cerebras' market cap be between $90B and $100B at market close on IPO day?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$27.6

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$46

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$54

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$82.49

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$135.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.7% 200 shares
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 31.3% 120 shares
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 32.1% 110 shares
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 31.7% 140 shares
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 32.5% 331.42 shares
Will Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 15% 170 shares
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 18% 120 shares
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 9% 216.78 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?

Down 7% 249.98 shares
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 41% 120 shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Yes 13% 700 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 17?

Down 17% 48.34 shares