Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.12
Polymarket Trader
Lawrence266
0x0a95f83344f02c0ffbbcb33994f33000aa6c089b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $12.11
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.12
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 88°F or higher on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Malcolm Ranjith be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will another driver finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Another team win the UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump deport 1,750,000-2,000,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alberta join the US?No 95.5% 54 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 53% 59 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 54% 59 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 24.3% 152 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 18.3% 152 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No 96.2% 28 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 21% 90 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes 2.3% 90 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 31% 7 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?Yes 4.5% 88 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes 4.4% 71 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes 3.8% 71 shares