No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $7.92K
- Potential payout
- $7.96K
- Potential profit
- $35.8
- User PnL
- $107.03
Polymarket Trader
uncleroger
0x0aae5c4ec45339a64a1dd2fe4ba98c2a19eb251c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.64K
- Realized PnL
- $188.61K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $6.23K
- Potential payout
- $6.69K
- Potential profit
- $465.29
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $91.52
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.8%
- Current value
- $472.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.53K
- Multiplier
- 6.35x
- User PnL
- -$67.5
Coco Gauff position
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.06K
- Potential profit
- $2.06K
- User PnL
- -$1.61K
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $1.69K
- Potential payout
- $1.77K
- Potential profit
- $78.9
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $98.4
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.3%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $224.37
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $67.18
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.25K
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $58.86
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $45.78
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $5.1
- User PnL
- $76.55
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $905
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $95
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $145
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24.3%
- Current value
- $242.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $757.5
- Multiplier
- 4.12x
- User PnL
- -$26.5
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $941.47
- Potential payout
- $999.97
- Potential profit
- $58.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $151.5
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $898.2
- Potential payout
- $949.97
- Potential profit
- $51.77
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $28.22
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $585.44
- Potential payout
- $624.47
- Potential profit
- $39.03
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $4.06
No position
Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $510.68
- Potential payout
- $558.12
- Potential profit
- $47.44
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $70.77
No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $432.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $67.5
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $320
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $180
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- -$70
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$145
No position
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $486.08
- Potential payout
- $494.99
- Potential profit
- $8.91
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $54.83
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $137.71
- Potential payout
- $344.28
- Potential profit
- $206.57
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $70.43
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $115.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $184.5
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $267
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $33
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Major US official out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$213
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $103
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $97
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $23
Something position
Nothing Ever Happens: March
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.36K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.72K
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.78K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.6K
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.07K
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.21K
Yes position
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.92K
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.17K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.52K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.02K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.39K
No position
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.41K
No position
Will Biden pardon SBF?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25K
Yes position
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.25-1.29°C?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8K
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.73K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43K
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17K
No position
Ethereum above $3,400 on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16K
No position
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.20-1.24°C?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04K
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56K
No position
Will Biden pardon Trump?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42K
Yes position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes 38% 40.32 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes 30% 44.28 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 40% 200 shares
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?No 80% 14.98 shares
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?No 94% 24 shares
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?No 94.8% 500 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 92.4% 4,694.85 shares
- Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes 98.9% 1,979.31 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 80% 2,500 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.4% 6,500 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?No 98.9% 4,248.97 shares
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina SvitolinaCoco Gauff 79% 1,714.89 shares