Polymarket Trader

PowerLawBeliever

0x0ac10d27ffdbfd26f292281bfc1afed3f6521a0e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $413.59
Realized PnL: $607.71
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$98.45

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $884.95
Potential profit: $884.95
User PnL: -$62.96

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.8%
Current value: $391.99
Potential payout: $473.71
Potential profit: $81.71
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $220.63

Yes position

Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$6.4

Yes position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$51.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.73
Potential profit: $97.73
User PnL: -$5.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.35
Potential profit: $95.35
User PnL: -$6.67

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$10.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $48
User PnL: -$1.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$5.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.42
Potential profit: $36.42
User PnL: -$6.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.33
Potential profit: $34.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.02
Potential profit: $30.02
User PnL: -$5.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$6.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$12.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $7.2
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $22.79
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $1.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $14.4
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $15.59
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $9

No position

Claude 4.8 released by May 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.99
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.98
Potential profit: $29.98
User PnL: -$9.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.81

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.05

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.9

Yes position

North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.13

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.71

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 5?

Yes 18% 29.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 6?

Yes 17.5% 29.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 3?

Yes 94.1% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 3?

Yes 84% 9.35 shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 3?

Yes 84% 8 shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 3?

Yes 0.6% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 3?

Yes 12.3% 37.5 shares
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?

Yes 1% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 6?

Yes 11% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 6?

Yes 25.7% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 7?

Yes 19% 8 shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 7?

Yes 17% 13.02 shares