Polymarket Trader

pmbull

@polymbull

0x0ac640cbcbb3dc8937e264a9a5fab50f6e8604f7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.65K
Realized PnL: $764.1
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $16.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.98K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.99K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 July 6-12?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.52K
Potential payout: $2.52K
Potential profit: $1.26
User PnL: $2.26

Yes position

Will A House of Dynamite win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.2K
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $9.39
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will Jay Kelly win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $984.63
Potential profit: $984.63
User PnL: -$0.98

No position

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $492.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $7.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $292.53
Potential payout: $300.04
Potential profit: $7.5
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.9

No position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $294.16
Potential payout: $300.01
Potential profit: $5.85
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $291.45
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $8.55
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$1.05

No position

Will XRP dip to $0.20 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $299.55
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $0.45
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will XRP dip to $0.40 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $298.64
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $1.35
User PnL: $1.35

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 July 6-12?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $99.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2025-11-18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99
Potential profit: $99
User PnL: -$49.5

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88
Potential profit: $88
User PnL: -$44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $65
User PnL: -$32.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 32°F or below on December 2?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61
Potential profit: $61
User PnL: -$30.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $55
User PnL: -$27.5

Yes position

Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $55
User PnL: -$27.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $55
User PnL: -$27.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41
Potential profit: $41
User PnL: -$20.5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $108,000 on September 25?

Ends Sep 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.21
Potential profit: $31.21
User PnL: -$1.03

No position

Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $31.04
Potential payout: $31.12
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $0.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.99

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.15

No position

Will Spain win on 2025-11-18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.5

No position

Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.68

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.5

Texans position

Bills vs. Texans

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 32°F or below on December 2?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.5

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 November 3-9?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.5

No position

Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.5

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Raptors

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.5

Yes position

Will SanDisk (SNDK) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Texans position

Texans vs. Colts

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Dolphins position

Commanders vs. Dolphins

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.5

No position

Will XRP dip to $0.80 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.63

No position

Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.23

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: $17.09

No position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $15.83

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?

No 97% 20.62 shares
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?

No 98.5% 5.08 shares
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?

No 97.1% 5.15 shares
Will Morocco score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.5% 5.03 shares
Will Switzerland score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.7% 5.02 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 July 6-12?

No 99.9% 1,516.89 shares
Will XRP dip to $0.70 July 6-12?

No 99.9% 10 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 July 6-12?

No 99.7% 30 shares
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in July?

No 99.9% 300 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 July 6-12?

No 99.6% 100 shares
Will XRP reach $1.20 June 29-July 5?

No 99.6% 5.02 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 29-July 5?

No 99.6% 5.02 shares