Polymarket Trader

ChristopherGardner4578

0x0ad5bfe2cb15b4045df16bb0a87f5245f2076f41

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.74K
Realized PnL: $8.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Under position

Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $969
Potential profit: $969
User PnL: -$862.41

Miami Marlins position

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $464
Potential payout: $928
Potential profit: $464
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $9.28

No position

Will SpaceX have 12 or more launches in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $918
Potential profit: $918
User PnL: -$137.61

Anthropic position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $528.47
Potential payout: $719
Potential profit: $190.53
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $61.12

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders position

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714
Potential profit: $714
User PnL: -$114.95

Yes position

Will I Like It be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $650
Potential profit: $650
User PnL: -$305.5

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $640
Potential profit: $640
User PnL: -$321.92

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $636
Potential profit: $636
User PnL: -$235.32

No position

Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $607
Potential payout: $607
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $85.93
Potential payout: $491
Potential profit: $405.08
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$36.83

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $467
Potential profit: $467
User PnL: -$144.77

No position

Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $438
Potential profit: $438
User PnL: -$153.3

San Diego Toreros position

San Francisco Dons vs. San Diego Toreros

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333
Potential profit: $333
User PnL: -$265.73

East Texas A&M Lions position

East Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar Cardinals

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176
Potential profit: $176
User PnL: -$24.82

Negative position

Bitcoin ETF Flows on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87
Potential profit: $87
User PnL: -$42.63

Yes position

Will Me Porto Bonito be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72
Potential profit: $72
User PnL: -$37.44

No position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66
Potential profit: $66
User PnL: -$33

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63
Potential profit: $63
User PnL: -$23.31

Yes position

Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $23.63
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $5.37
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on March 11, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $12.55
Potential payout: $20.57
Potential profit: $8.02
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $5.55

No position

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 4 be between 60 and 70?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $12.74
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $1.26
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $5.9
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $3.11
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46K

No position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $773.37

No position

Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $493.79

Over position

Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $476.37

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $437.5

Yes position

Will The MongolZ qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $433.8

Yes position

Will BC.Game make a roster move before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $403.69

Yes position

Will Nancy Pelosi attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $377.52

Yes position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $361.86

Under position

Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $331.16

Yes position

Will SpyGlass Pharma, Inc.'s market cap be between $500M and $550M at market close on IPO day?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $309.54

Yes position

Will Trump say "Job" 7+ times during the announcement on Thursday?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $298.56

No position

Will "Knee injury" be said at the Super Bowl?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.96

Yes position

Will "Audit" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $258.97

Yes position

Will Safaera be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.25

Under position

Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.02

Yes position

Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Multiplier: 19.61x
User PnL: $180.54

Yes position

Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.9

No position

Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-02-15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.76

Yes position

Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut down" during the next White House Press Briefing?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.54

Yes position

Will "Elon" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.19

Yes position

Will Dundee FC win on 2026-02-04?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.48

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $128.44

Over position

Siena Saints vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 135.5

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

No 88% 117 shares
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Yes 93% 30 shares
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

No 87% 475 shares
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

No 87% 416 shares
Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?

No 66% 825 shares
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

No 88% 891 shares
Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?

No 43% 534 shares
Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?

No 43% 269 shares
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?

No 41% 455 shares
Will President Trump sign 5 pieces of legislation into law in April?

No 69% 15 shares
Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?

No 65% 825 shares
Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?

No 53% 803 shares