No position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $65.8
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $74.2
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Polymarket Trader
firelifestyler
@wayu080313
0x0ada0a901228ed80830cb6f1604bcb55992d0826
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $264.27
- Realized PnL
- $147.25
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $74.2
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $65.8
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $75.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $24.5
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $13.87
- Potential payout
- $73
- Potential profit
- $59.13
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$4.38
No position
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $16.2
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $7.8
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $18.7
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.06
Yes position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.1
No position
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.26
No position
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-13?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.09
No position
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.18
No position
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.99
No position
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.48
No position
Will Nigeria win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.8
No position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $5.3
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Will Malmö FF win on 2025-11-27?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.62
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on November 24?
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
No position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Makhachev position
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2025-11-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 9 above $140?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 10?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 3?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $330 end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 29?
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No 78% 100 shares
- Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?No 25% 73 shares
- Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?No 61% 24 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?No 93% 89.99 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?No 89% 89.99 shares
- Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 92.9% 130 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo 81% 22 shares
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 96.8% 68 shares
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 89% 68 shares
- Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?No 96.3% 60 shares
- Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?No 76% 60 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 97.3% 49 shares