Polymarket Trader

severintest2

0x0ae07e25bdab0028f6e4dbf2a38a7602be1c2423

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.38K
Realized PnL: $316.9
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $300.58
Potential payout: $310.52
Potential profit: $9.94
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $5.59

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $282.88
Potential payout: $290.43
Potential profit: $7.55
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $9.87

No position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $230.26
Potential payout: $251.65
Potential profit: $21.39
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.26

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $232.54
Potential profit: $232.54
User PnL: -$213.07

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $204.47
Potential payout: $218.68
Potential profit: $14.21
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $5.47

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 90.4%
Current value: $179.6
Potential payout: $198.78
Potential profit: $19.18
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $17.39

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $181.15
Potential payout: $187.23
Potential profit: $6.08
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $5.15

No position

Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.87
Potential profit: $147.87
User PnL: -$139

Frances Tiafoe position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Andrea Pellegrino

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146.66
Potential profit: $146.66
User PnL: -$22

No position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.09
Potential profit: $76.09
User PnL: -$70

Hugo Gaston position

Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanov

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.41
Potential profit: $61.41
User PnL: -$33.65

Clement Tabur position

Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Clement Tabur

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.35
Potential profit: $52.35
User PnL: -$32.98

Baltimore Orioles position

Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.45
Potential profit: $44.45
User PnL: -$2.67

Gustavo Heide position

Francavilla: Gustavo Heide vs Facundo Acosta

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.21
Potential profit: $34.21
User PnL: -$25.41

MOUZ position

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.75
Potential profit: $6.75
User PnL: -$4.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.71

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.33

No position

Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.86

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.77

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.29

No position

Lionel Messi: 2+ goals

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.44

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.82

No position

Erling Haaland: 2+ goals

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.52

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.77

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.64

No position

Haiti leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.45

No position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.44

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.28

Diane Parry position

Internationaux de Strasbourg: Diane Parry vs Emma Raducanu

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.24

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $8.17

No position

Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.07

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.85

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.68

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.44

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.23

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

No 91% 251.65 shares
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

No 91% 218.68 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 94% 290.43 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 81.6% 198.78 shares
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals

No 91% 242.86 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?

No 95.9% 230.21 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 96% 107.02 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 99.5% 162.63 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 95.8% 267.05 shares
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Austria?

No 95.5% 64.58 shares
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Austria?

No 95.8% 64.58 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?

No 96% 147.91 shares