Yes position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $9.24
- Potential payout
- $142.14
- Potential profit
- $132.9
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$10.66
Polymarket Trader
0x0aee...830a
0x0aee398fd4ae748c121d2996f739a2a5a6a0830a
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $37.09
- Realized PnL
- -$12.29
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $22.66
- Potential payout
- $137.36
- Potential profit
- $114.7
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$7.29
Yes position
Japan recession in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $5.19
- Potential payout
- $43.26
- Potential profit
- $38.07
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$14.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.32
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.61
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$35.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 70% 25.16 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?Yes 59% 61 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 19% 105.26 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Yes 94% 60.22 shares
- Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No 86% 40.7 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No 73% 13.63 shares
- Japan recession in 2026?Yes 46% 43.26 shares
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes 14% 142.14 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 26% 38.27 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 31% 32.1 shares