Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $63
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $137
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $63
Polymarket Trader
jasylum
@JasylumT
0x0af065fe62b5fb40072acfecd57cba5aed2b7aef
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $901.07
- Realized PnL
- $944.47
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $151
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $49
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.8%
- Current value
- $21.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $178.5
- Multiplier
- 9.30x
- User PnL
- -$2.9
No position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$160
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $124
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $76
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $107
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $93
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$154
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$86
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $110
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $90
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $87.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$53
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $20.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $79.35
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Y
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $78.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $21.5
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $32.5
No position
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $46.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $53.5
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $46.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $53.5
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.52
- Potential profit
- $88.52
- User PnL
- -$25.95
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $29.2
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $50.8
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$4.4
Y
Yes position
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $49.85
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $4.2
Yes position
Will Mobia Medical's market cap be between $500M and $700M at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$23.4
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.8%
- Current value
- $40.88
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $9.13
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $6.82
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$26
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $86.8
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64
No position
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.9
Yes position
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43
Yes position
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.49
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29
No position
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.5
Yes position
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.5
No position
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $72 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.53
Yes position
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $220 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Up position
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.5
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $18.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.5% 49.99 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 95.2% 200 shares
- Spread: Ecuador (-3.5)Curaçao 83% 60.24 shares
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?Yes 32% 20 shares
- Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?No 93.7% 100 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No 92% 200 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No 54% 10 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No 54% 10 shares
- Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $72 in May?No 96.1% 50 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 13?No 99.5% 201.01 shares
- Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes 96.6% 20.71 shares
- Lakers vs. NuggetsNuggets 79% 50.63 shares