Polymarket Trader

mrstupid

0x0af5935cb0f3784714d09635132e046652bf2470

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.51K
Realized PnL: $45.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.62K
Potential payout: $107.13K
Potential profit: $104.5K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $374.95

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$364.88

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.61K
Potential profit: $9.61K
User PnL: -$292.59

Yes position

Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $5.87K
Potential payout: $6.82K
Potential profit: $955.18
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $31.21

Yes position

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $3.39K
Potential payout: $5.02K
Potential profit: $1.63K
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$155.54

Yes position

Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $3.46K
Potential payout: $3.67K
Potential profit: $211.28
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $8.29

Yes position

Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $2.93K
Potential payout: $3.04K
Potential profit: $109.6
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$49.51

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $12.2
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $2.02K
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$374.18

No position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $647.24
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $991.34
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$659.08

Yes position

Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $570.67
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $856.01
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: $7.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.49K

Vikings position

Vikings vs. Cowboys

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45K

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35K

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29K

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99K

49ers position

49ers vs. Cardinals

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81K

No position

Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63K

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63K

Indiana position

Spread: Indiana (-7.5)

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55K

Oregon position

Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93K

No position

Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57K

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57K

Oklahoma position

Missouri vs. Oklahoma

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55K

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

Lions position

Spread: Lions (-7.5)

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

No position

Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44K

No position

Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26K

No position

Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $872.71

Spurs position

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $852.85

Spurs position

Kings vs. Spurs

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $850

Yes position

Will Zcash flip Monero by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $743.51

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $739.12

Yes position

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $625.41

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.1% 106,985.11 shares
SBF released from custody in 2026?

No 92.4% 2,000 shares
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 98.3% 1,117 shares
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 95% 2,332.08 shares
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 70% 1,875.99 shares
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 89% 136.9 shares
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 72% 13.51 shares
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 89% 31.24 shares
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 89% 31.24 shares
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 94% 59.9 shares
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 98.6% 1,627.53 shares
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 92.3% 1,282.43 shares