Yes position
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.57
- Potential profit
- $129.57
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0x0af9...7ad5
0x0af9fe48d026d8a81461ad5ff78d4354f21d7ad5
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $5.38
- Realized PnL
- -$6.05
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112.87
- Potential profit
- $112.87
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.63
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.63
Yes position
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Current value
- $4.55
- Potential payout
- $46
- Potential profit
- $41.44
- Multiplier
- 10.10x
- User PnL
- $2.55
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.36
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$4.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Under position
O/U 4.5 Rounds
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.26
No position
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
Yes position
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
No position
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.32
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.32
No position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "Tesla" or "Lamborghini" during his next YouTube video?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No 37% 28.76 shares
- France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No 92.1% 10.95 shares
- France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No 63.9% 10.95 shares
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?Yes 1.6% 62.9 shares
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?Yes 0.8% 129.57 shares
- Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes 35% 25 shares
- Will the US strike Somalia next?No 3% 33.09 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?No 73% 6.85 shares
- Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 4.3% 46 shares
- Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 52% 9.62 shares
- Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No 86% 34.88 shares
- Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?No 10% 10 shares