Yes position
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.34K
- Potential profit
- $51.34K
- User PnL
- -$102.69
Polymarket Trader
0x0B01d14B4f91ACdf61534543d4a645f142238F47-1766685782640
0x0b01d14b4f91acdf61534543d4a645f142238f47
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $661.79
- Realized PnL
- $1.6K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.44K
- Potential profit
- $42.44K
- User PnL
- -$132.17
Yes position
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.06K
- Potential profit
- $36.06K
- User PnL
- -$72.59
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.32K
- Potential profit
- $24.32K
- User PnL
- -$198.69
Yes position
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $232.94
- Potential payout
- $22.19K
- Potential profit
- $21.95K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $11.09
Yes position
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $112.5
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $14.89K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$22.5
Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $126.49
- Potential payout
- $4.98K
- Potential profit
- $4.85K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $98.62
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $5.97
- Potential payout
- $3.98K
- Potential profit
- $3.97K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.86
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $48.74
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $2.03K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$5.72
No position
Will Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$11.76
Yes position
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $8.25
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Yes position
Will CJL/MIRA win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$7.3
Yes position
Will the US strike Yemen next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$14.99
Yes position
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $91.65
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 12.82x
- User PnL
- $38.84
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $20.34
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$13.36
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$7.34
Yes position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$3.15
Yes position
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $993.5
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$4.77
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $995.7
- Potential profit
- $995.7
- User PnL
- -$3.29
Yes position
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $746.42
- Potential profit
- $746.42
- User PnL
- -$6.48
Yes position
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $8.41
- Potential payout
- $673
- Potential profit
- $664.59
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $2.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $182.84
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.56
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $105.68
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.21
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $94.33
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.34
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,725-$4,850 in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.13
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.87
Northwestern position
Spread: Northwestern (-10.5)
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.3
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.28
Over position
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.28
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 1AM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.63
Nets position
Spread: Bulls (-3.5)
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.88
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.7
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle at $77.5-$80 in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.22
Up position
Solana Up or Down - December 26, 6AM ET
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.52
No position
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-01-01?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.89
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.52
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.36
Yes position
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.67
No position
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.63
Over position
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.26
No position
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.06
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1% 5 shares
- Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1% 5 shares
- Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1% 5 shares
- Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1% 5 shares
- Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1% 5 shares
- Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1% 5 shares
- Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1% 5 shares
- Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1% 5 shares
- Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1% 5 shares
- Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1% 5 shares
- Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1% 5 shares
- Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1% 5 shares