Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.29
- Potential profit
- $13.29
- User PnL
- -$1.86
Polymarket Trader
solomaybach12
0x0b0f33710c2757f740aabd66c3335f6fead9af37
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.35
- Realized PnL
- $41.85
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.86
- Potential payout
- $13.25
- Potential profit
- $12.39
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Yes position
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.2
- Potential profit
- $8.2
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.09
- Potential profit
- $8.09
- User PnL
- -$0.89
Yes position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.91
- Potential profit
- $7.91
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.4%
- Current value
- $2.49
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $4.18
- Multiplier
- 2.68x
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.14
- Potential profit
- $6.14
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.37
- Potential profit
- $5.37
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.25
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.49
- Potential profit
- $4.49
- User PnL
- -$0.94
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.37
- Potential profit
- $4.37
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.11
- Potential profit
- $4.11
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.76
- Potential profit
- $3.76
- User PnL
- -$0.79
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.76
- Potential profit
- $3.76
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.6
- Potential profit
- $3.6
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $3.57
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $3.23
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.09
Yes position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.31
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.54
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32
Yes position
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.73
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Yes position
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?No 33% 3.03 shares
- US x China tariff agreement by May 31?Yes 11% 9.09 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 41% 2.44 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?No 47% 2.13 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?No 88% 1.56 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?No 93% 1.69 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No 85% 2.08 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?No 82% 3.85 shares
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?Yes 45% 2.15 shares
- Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 28% 3.57 shares
- Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 22% 4.55 shares
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 15% 6.67 shares