No position
Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
yutian9292
0x0b1b4e879e7ada5f6a4d1e04fd832f7025b4baa9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.16
- Realized PnL
- $0.75
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.23
- Potential profit
- $1.23
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $1.16
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
North Korea missile launch by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
AI Bubble Boom Parlay November
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.01
ETH position
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Yes position
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes 31% 2.63 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?Yes 4.4% 1.85 shares
- AI Bubble Boom Parlay NovemberYes 90% 1.11 shares
- AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?No 86% 1.16 shares
- Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes 82% 1.22 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes 38% 2.63 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes 91.3% 1.1 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes 86.6% 1.15 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?Yes 53.9% 1.86 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 86% 1.17 shares
- Will Trump visit China by March 31?No 91% 1.12 shares
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No 91% 1.13 shares