Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $4.24
- Potential profit
- $1.61
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Polymarket Trader
0x0b1c081B1198D8b12e0c6819D12e37911f9616Dc-1775577164540
0x0b1c081b1198d8b12e0c6819d12e37911f9616dc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.63
- Realized PnL
- -$9.78
- Win rate
- 12.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.66
No position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.77
No position
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.86
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.8
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.09
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes 84% 4.24 shares
- Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?No 16% 7.14 shares
- Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?No 42% 7.14 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No 84% 6.63 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No 30% 6.63 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 51% 4.11 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 52% 4.12 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?No 2% 42.54 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?No 11.8% 42.54 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 7% 27.96 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 8% 23.8 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 2.6% 90.14 shares