No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $83.13K
- Potential payout
- $88.2K
- Potential profit
- $5.07K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $8.41K
Polymarket Trader
TerreMoto
0x0b219cf3d297991b58361dbebdbaa91e56b8deb6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $141.03K
- Realized PnL
- $121.72K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.63K
- Potential profit
- $36.63K
- User PnL
- -$25.91K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.47K
- Potential profit
- $35.47K
- User PnL
- -$17.93K
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $18.58K
- Potential payout
- $18.67K
- Potential profit
- $93.35
- User PnL
- $1.96K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.15K
- Potential profit
- $15.15K
- User PnL
- -$14.13K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $11.77K
- Potential payout
- $12.65K
- Potential profit
- $885.56
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $671.63
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $8.53K
- Potential payout
- $9.22K
- Potential profit
- $691.38
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.38K
No position
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $4.85K
- Potential payout
- $5.84K
- Potential profit
- $993.26
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $853.56
No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $3.48K
- Potential payout
- $4.22K
- Potential profit
- $737.85
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $638.32
No position
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $3.39K
- Potential payout
- $3.44K
- Potential profit
- $46.4
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $876.8
No position
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $2.64K
- Potential payout
- $2.66K
- Potential profit
- $21.27
- User PnL
- $705.16
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $2.48K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $18.75
- User PnL
- $481.25
No position
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.29K
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $7.79
- User PnL
- $49.32
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$523.67
No position
SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $618.25
- Potential payout
- $625.44
- Potential profit
- $7.19
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $92.88
No position
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $199.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- User PnL
- $45.3
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $88.41
- Potential payout
- $93.55
- Potential profit
- $5.15
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $20.11
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.91
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.52K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.48K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.21K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.16K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.74K
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4K
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.7K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.27K
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12K
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4K
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33K
No position
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26K
No position
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?No 84% 229.99 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 80% 1,411.2 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No 94% 57.69 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 94% 10,625.8 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 69% 4,095.9 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 99.8% 60,000 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No 99.8% 10 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 99.8% 50,000 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 99.8% 50,000 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 67% 4,000 shares
- Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?Yes 99.8% 2,632.03 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No 33% 1,200 shares