Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
Theduke21
0x0b274c460ced087adeb2439a73a2cc39ebfecde2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.04
- Realized PnL
- $11.25
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.84K
- User PnL
- -$46
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.55
- Potential profit
- $99.55
- User PnL
- -$8.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $39
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $6.04
- Potential payout
- $38.98
- Potential profit
- $32.94
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.99
- Potential profit
- $34.99
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.92
- Potential profit
- $4.92
- User PnL
- -$2.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.92
- Potential profit
- $4.92
- User PnL
- -$2.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.92
- Potential profit
- $4.92
- User PnL
- -$2.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 0.5% 500 shares
- Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 0.6% 500 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETUp 46% 4.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETUp 48% 4.84 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETUp 47% 4.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETUp 46% 4.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETUp 49% 4.84 shares
- Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes 56% 5 shares
- Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes 57% 5 shares
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes 48.4% 5 shares
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes 48.9% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETUp 50% 4.84 shares