No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $2.55K
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $148.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $311.44
Polymarket Trader
IronE
0x0b34b69b3acfcf19e589179e0c5894f78261f5a6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.07K
- Realized PnL
- $928.96
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $1.42K
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $586.54
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $1.55K
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $43.08
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $132.73
Up position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.21K
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $189.39
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $3.23
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $834.47
- Potential payout
- $861.61
- Potential profit
- $27.14
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $93.48
Yes position
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $253.35
- Potential payout
- $734.56
- Potential profit
- $481.21
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $87.06
No position
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $335.4
- Potential payout
- $626.92
- Potential profit
- $291.52
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $96.45
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $584.69
- Potential payout
- $610
- Potential profit
- $25.32
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $72.09
Yes position
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $32.51
- Potential payout
- $602.07
- Potential profit
- $569.56
- Multiplier
- 18.52x
- User PnL
- -$3.04
No position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $593.57
- Potential profit
- $593.57
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.8%
- Current value
- $44.47
- Potential payout
- $505.34
- Potential profit
- $460.87
- Multiplier
- 11.36x
- User PnL
- $26.05
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $28.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $471.75
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $2.25
Yes position
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $220
- User PnL
- -$13.2
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $200.72
- Potential payout
- $204.4
- Potential profit
- $3.68
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $17.9
Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.1
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140.1
- Potential profit
- $140.1
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.2%
- Current value
- $15.06
- Potential payout
- $51.67
- Potential profit
- $36.61
- Multiplier
- 3.43x
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.36
- Potential profit
- $36.36
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.5
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.21
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.44
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.79
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.5
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.15
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.3
No position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.64
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.6
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.93
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.1
No position
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.59
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31
No position
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Up 88.9% 742.9 shares
- Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster?Yes 5% 20 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No 87.9% 834.19 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?No 94% 200 shares
- Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No 64% 21 shares
- Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No 72% 101 shares
- Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No 74% 50 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?No 91.9% 1,026.66 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?No 80% 70 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?No 76.8% 1,600 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?No 86% 861.61 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?No 91% 873.45 shares