Polymarket Trader

Katagirileo

@katagiri_leo

0x0b379b8499bdc389ea1e2b118ba0511489bec799

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $111.23
Realized PnL: $1.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.21
Potential profit: $54.21
User PnL: -$20

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $24.87
Potential payout: $28.1
Potential profit: $3.23
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $13.62
Potential payout: $20.48
Potential profit: $6.86
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$0.38

No position

Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $11.84
Potential payout: $17.54
Potential profit: $5.7
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $1.84

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $9.92
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $6.21
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $10.26
Potential payout: $15.31
Potential profit: $5.05
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 66.7%
Current value: $9.93
Potential payout: $14.89
Potential profit: $4.96
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $9.95
Potential payout: $11.77
Potential profit: $1.82
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.06

T1 position

LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $9.83
Potential payout: $11.49
Potential profit: $1.67
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.17

T1 position

LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $7.79
Potential payout: $10.68
Potential profit: $2.88
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Will ANSEM flip PUMP by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $3.24
Potential payout: $5.02
Potential profit: $1.78
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $0.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Game 7 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?

Ends Dec 3, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $509.02

Gen.G position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.57

Yes position

Will Grok 4.20 not be released by February 14, 2026?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.56

Yes position

Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 26.6%
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $60.31

No position

GPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.16

Gen.G position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.59

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.25

Yes position

Will Ding Liren win Game 8 of the World Chess Championship?

Ends Dec 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.27

Yes position

Will SOL flip XRP again in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.8

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.16

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.9

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.26

Yes position

Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.04

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.45

Yes position

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.36

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.6

Yes position

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.79

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.63

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.32

Yes position

Will Aston Villa vs. Arsenal end in a draw?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.88

No position

Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 16, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.87

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.63

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.1

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner

T1 74% 10.68 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 85% 11.76 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 67.2% 14.89 shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Hanwha Life Esports 62% 16.13 shares
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

T1 87% 11.49 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 67% 14.93 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

No 89% 28.09 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 53% 14.93 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 95% 58.06 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5

Over 65% 12.04 shares
T20 Blast: Lancashire vs Derbyshire

Derbyshire 50% 9.8 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5

Over 83% 12.05 shares