Polymarket Trader

0x0b3d...8502

0x0b3d20899a7bdc6287b37f7045d83a071b428502

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $54.06
Realized PnL: $74.72
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $2.44
Potential payout: $124.95
Potential profit: $122.51
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $39.85
Potential profit: $39.55
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$2.65

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $30.13
Potential profit: $25.16
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $9.78
Potential payout: $25.41
Potential profit: $15.63
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40.6%
Current value: $8.49
Potential payout: $20.91
Potential profit: $12.42
Multiplier: 2.46x
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $2.45
Potential payout: $13.25
Potential profit: $10.8
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $1.91
Potential payout: $13.14
Potential profit: $11.23
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.48
Potential payout: $11.81
Potential profit: $10.33
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $5.02
Potential payout: $11.8
Potential profit: $6.79
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $2.92
Potential payout: $9.57
Potential profit: $6.65
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $4.43
Potential payout: $7.09
Potential profit: $2.66
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $2.21
Potential payout: $5.32
Potential profit: $3.11
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $2.89
Potential payout: $5.31
Potential profit: $2.42
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $5.14
Potential profit: $3.19
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $3.69
Potential profit: $3.45
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $1.42
Potential payout: $3.68
Potential profit: $2.26
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $2.66
Potential profit: $1.49
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: -$0.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.94

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.82

Croatia position

Spread: Croatia (-1.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.16

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.27

Yes position

Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.29

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.54

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $4.19

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.15

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.71

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68

Over position

Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Over position

England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?

Yes 17% 51.54 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Yes 61% 7.37 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Yes 61% 4.27 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

No 93% 3.68 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

No 89% 11.06 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 28% 7.37 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

No 73% 7.37 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

No 75% 18.43 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 26% 18.43 shares
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)

Croatia 18.3% 11.04 shares
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)

Croatia 20.8% 7.36 shares
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)

Croatia 42% 4.71 shares