Polymarket Trader

dball

0x0b48377febd4247aad40adb00802b833c1b79e7a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.65K
Realized PnL: $15.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $455
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $69.54K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$74.69

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $315
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $69.68K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$105

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$550

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $405
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $29.6K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$255

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $290
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $19.71K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $565
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.44K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$275

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $455
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.55K
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$85

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $387.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.61K
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: -$117.5

Yes position

Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $525
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.47K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $125

Yes position

Over $5M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $585
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $415
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $75

Yes position

Over $3M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $670
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $330
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.34K

Yes position

Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.77K

Yes position

Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

Yes position

Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

No position

Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $859.49

Yes position

Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $687

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $604.69

No position

Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $540

Yes position

Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $507.51

Yes position

Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $415.01

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $349.99

Yes position

Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340

No position

MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $312.67

Yes position

Over $200K committed to the Foresee public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308.52

No position

Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $285.57

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.14

Yes position

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $179.89

No position

Over $20M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.67

Yes position

Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $170

Yes position

Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $148.33

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $130

Yes position

Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.6

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.8% 5,000 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.4% 10,000 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 20,000 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 40,000 shares
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.1% 50,000 shares
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.9% 50,000 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?

No 99.6% 5 shares
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks

Miami (OH) RedHawks 27% 1,102.81 shares
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers

Howard Bison 49.6% 600 shares
Over $500K committed to the Foresee public sale?

Yes 55% 357.63 shares
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?

No 96.9% 108.2 shares
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Yes 77% 653.52 shares