Polymarket Trader

shinyhunter

0x0b4f78c47e80d9432fb0d3c6c64ee0bae3be3b33

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.39K
Realized PnL: $8.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $469.8
Potential payout: $696
Potential profit: $226.2
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $24.36

Yes position

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $46.52
Potential payout: $443
Potential profit: $396.49
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$37.66

No position

Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $363.83
Potential payout: $441
Potential profit: $77.18
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $6.61

Anthropic position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $220.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $79.5
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $22.5

No position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $174.73
Potential payout: $202
Potential profit: $27.27
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $35.35

No position

US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $7.6
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $94.4
Multiplier: 13.42x
User PnL: -$82.16

No position

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $69.03
Potential payout: $78
Potential profit: $8.97
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $10.53

Yes position

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $6.21
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $47.79
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$7.29

Yes position

Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $34.23
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $7.77
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.86
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: -$0.44

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Over position

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

Over position

Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $761.89

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $761.09

Yes position

Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $599.61

Milwaukee Admirals position

AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffins

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $528.63

No position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $514.17

Yes position

Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 21.8%
Multiplier: 4.60x
User PnL: $505.25

Over position

Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $502.54

Yes position

Will between 9 and 12 participants make a final pair?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $424.62

Yes position

Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $415.48

Yes position

Will "Concussion" be said at the Super Bowl?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267.33

Yes position

Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 15)

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.68

No position

Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $203.55

No position

Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $182.4

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 9 - March 15 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.9

Yes position

Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $133.2

Yes position

Will "War" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.66

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 14, 8PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116

No position

Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.43

Yes position

Will "Elon" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.17

Olympiacos B.C. position

Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.02

Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks position

Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Michigan State Spartans

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $91.28

Yes position

Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 29, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.59

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $83.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 56% 16 shares
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Yes 11% 209 shares
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 85% 143 shares
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score

No 22% 247 shares
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score

No 22% 322 shares
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Yes 29% 35 shares
Rippling IPO before 2027?

No 83% 588 shares
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?

No 75% 372 shares
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?

No 75% 486 shares
Rippling IPO before 2027?

No 83% 588 shares
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?

No 75% 858 shares
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?

No 96.9% 24 shares