Polymarket Trader

zxcqwe

0x0b52d91616b5d7f31dcd52e9e8143cff273e0479

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.8
Realized PnL: $11.77
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $10.18
Potential profit: $9.33
Multiplier: 12.05x
User PnL: -$2.16

Yes position

Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.73
Potential profit: $4.73
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.67
Potential profit: $4.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $0.93
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Will Powell say "Possibility" during October press conference?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $2.63
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.91
Potential profit: $1.91
User PnL: -$1.9

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $1.18
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Powell say "Pandemic" during October press conference?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.12
Potential profit: $1.12
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1
Potential profit: $1.1
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.5

ETH position

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

No position

Will EA say "Skate" during earnings call?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14

No position

Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during October press conference?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

No position

Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Grokipedia released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 61°F or higher on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Japan troop visit on October 28?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 5+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will no CEO be announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Otis Worldwide (OTIS) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 25+ times during October press conference?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Yes 29.5% 10.18 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 21.4% 4.67 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Yes 36% 2.78 shares
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 99.6% 1.08 shares
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Yes 20% 1 shares
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?

Yes 94% 7.71 shares
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?

No 99.4% 1.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

No 97.5% 1.03 shares
Xi Jinping out in 2025?

No 97.8% 3.42 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 65°F or higher on November 12?

No 99.5% 1.01 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on November 10?

Yes 97.9% 1.02 shares
Will the government shutdown end November 10?

No 98.7% 1.01 shares