No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $34.23K
- Potential payout
- $37.82K
- Potential profit
- $3.59K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.79K
Polymarket Trader
Gdub
0x0b644e443a404159a7b5ca4650cf2444b13549bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $97.08K
- Realized PnL
- $172.44K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $4.07K
- Potential payout
- $13.35K
- Potential profit
- $9.28K
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$150.25
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $9.78K
- Potential payout
- $11.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.26K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $9.83K
- Potential payout
- $9.9K
- Potential profit
- $69.29
- User PnL
- $278.69
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.1%
- Current value
- $5.88K
- Potential payout
- $7.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$82.51
No position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $5.73K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $270
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $950.01
No position
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $2.86K
- Potential payout
- $3.57K
- Potential profit
- $714.74
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $23.55
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.75K
- Potential payout
- $3.04K
- Potential profit
- $288.99
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$4.71
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $2.18K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $825
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $315
No position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $1.96K
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $292.44
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$44.91
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $209
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $297
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $2.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $141.11
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $2K
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $106.63
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $537.94
No position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.09K
- Potential profit
- $2.09K
- User PnL
- -$1.45K
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.83K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $170
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $90
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$1.36K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$400
No position
Will Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- $30
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.75K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $250
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $529.99
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.72K
- Potential payout
- $1.73K
- Potential profit
- $6.05
- User PnL
- $316.61
No position
Clavicular sentenced to prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $1.43K
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $272.02
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$29.76
No position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $1.41K
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $74.33
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $62.68
No position
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $1.34K
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $74.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $45.89
No position
Another Elon baby by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $1.32K
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $64.94
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $266.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?
Ends Sep 30, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 53101343.73x
- User PnL
- $30.22K
Yes position
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 865788.24x
- User PnL
- $27.6K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021?
Ends Nov 30, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 10863773.94x
- User PnL
- $14.15K
No position
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?
Ends Sep 30, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 13242921.18x
- User PnL
- $11.48K
Yes position
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
Ends Jan 8, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.22K
No position
Will Parag Agrawal remain CEO of Twitter through June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 1206361.63x
- User PnL
- $5.92K
Yes position
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by July 31, 2022?
Ends Jul 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 664106.07x
- User PnL
- $5.92K
Yes position
Golf: Will Collin Morikawa win the 2022 Masters Tournament?
Ends Apr 11, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 1107325.28x
- User PnL
- $5.87K
Democratic position
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections?
Ends Nov 8, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 793924.87x
- User PnL
- $5.63K
Yes position
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021?
Ends Mar 2, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.51K
Yes position
Golf: Will Jordan Spieth win the 2022 Masters Tournament?
Ends Apr 11, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 1220591.20x
- User PnL
- $5.51K
Democratic position
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
Ends Nov 8, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.43K
Yes position
Golf: Will Justin Thomas win the 2022 Masters Tournament?
Ends Apr 11, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 1239967.45x
- User PnL
- $5.2K
No position
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09K
Yes position
Golf: Will Jon Rahm win the 2022 Masters Tournament?
Ends Apr 11, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 2496615.65x
- User PnL
- $4.08K
No position
Was JFK assassination an inside job?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92K
No position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022?
Ends Dec 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 1650811.60x
- User PnL
- $3.67K
N
No position
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6, 2023?
Ends Jan 6, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44K
Y
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 1, 2022?
Ends May 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 3754566.00x
- User PnL
- $3.23K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78K
No position
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.6% 4,900 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 97.7% 2,359 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 98.3% 2,691.12 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 6% 1,999.91 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Ciryl Gane 50% 1,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 98% 4,897.96 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 98.8% 1,487.44 shares
- First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?No 95% 572.9 shares
- Will Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?No 98% 2,000 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No 70% 1,000 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 74.2% 792.78 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?No 76.3% 1,300 shares