No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
Bromley86
0x0b652d3e55be0e1d50c2f7be39358585c415293e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $49.37K
- Realized PnL
- $22.89K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $6.93K
- Potential payout
- $6.98K
- Potential profit
- $45.36
- User PnL
- $82.99
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $5.01K
- Potential payout
- $5.42K
- Potential profit
- $406.53
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $435.71
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $4.87K
- Potential payout
- $4.92K
- Potential profit
- $49.23
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $83.05
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $2.7K
- Potential payout
- $4.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $199.33
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $3.03K
- Potential payout
- $3.06K
- Potential profit
- $29.06
- User PnL
- $160.69
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $814.03
- Potential payout
- $3.01K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$403.38
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2.99K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- User PnL
- $265.01
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $2.96K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $40.5
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $224.51
No position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $2.76K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $240
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $13.34
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $2.77K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $225
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $340.02
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $2.01K
- Potential payout
- $2.52K
- Potential profit
- $504.33
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $288.04
N
No position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $1.77K
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $325.49
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$45.27
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$314.17
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.78K
- Potential profit
- $1.78K
- User PnL
- -$1.46K
No position
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $1.43K
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $15.14
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $94.18
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $1.37K
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $68.47
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $38.02
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.7%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $203.75
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $168.05
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $69.71
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.71
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $25.34
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $21.74
No position
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $873.59
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $166.4
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$11.39
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $980.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $19.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $50.5
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $959.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $40.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $29.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46K
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35K
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
Yes position
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85K
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
Yes position
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C on January 8?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $773.19
No position
Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $718.16
Yes position
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $623.64
Yes position
Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $592.71
Yes position
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $577.87
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $547.01
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $475.78
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $455.59
Yes position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $415.69
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $393.44
No position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $385.78
Yes position
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $385.74
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $365.34
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $357.39
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $349.89
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Novomykolaivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $342.7
Yes position
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $339.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?No 75% 40 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 77% 999.98 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 87% 500 shares
- Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?Yes 56.2% 476.6 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 62% 499.99 shares
- Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 19.1% 493.29 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 89.1% 500 shares
- Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 34.4% 335.51 shares
- Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 40.5% 164.46 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 27% 500 shares
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 22.4% 415.63 shares
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 40.9% 1,032.61 shares