timalex

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $4.87
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.87

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $4.18
Potential payout: $5.2
Potential profit: $1.01
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $1.96
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$0.87

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 92.4%
Current value: $4.69
Potential payout: $5.07
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $4.92
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.08
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.92

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $2.74
Potential profit: $0.86
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $1.89
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $0.81
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 11?

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $2.14
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $0.57
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 11?

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $1.87
Potential payout: $2.67
Potential profit: $0.8
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $2.67
Potential profit: $0.68
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $2.67
Potential profit: $0.87
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.67
Potential payout: $2.67
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $2.67
Potential profit: $0.41
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.67
Potential profit: $2.67
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.67
Potential profit: $2.67
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $1.61
Potential payout: $2.67
Potential profit: $1.05
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$0.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $2.13
Potential payout: $2.67
Potential profit: $0.53
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.67
Potential payout: $2.67
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $1.84
Potential payout: $2.67
Potential profit: $0.83
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$0.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $2.29
Potential payout: $2.67
Potential profit: $0.37
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $2.67
Potential profit: $1.21
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $2.67
Potential profit: $0.67
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.67
Potential payout: $2.67
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $1.71
Potential payout: $2.67
Potential profit: $0.96
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$0.29

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 10?