Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $109.62
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- Multiplier
- 17.54x
- User PnL
- -$140.38
Polymarket Trader
300usd
0x0b7e884508ec96a6bf9dff28f9d09a93d5abba0c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $135.31
- Realized PnL
- $7.41
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- User PnL
- -$343
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $25.69
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $2.08
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $5.69
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.25
- Potential profit
- $9.25
- User PnL
- -$9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
No position
GPT ads by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will Netflix acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 97.3% 9.25 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 13% 1,923.08 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 72% 27.78 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No 99.9% 26.04 shares
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No 35% 142.86 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?No 93% 31.13 shares
- GPT ads by December 31?No 98.7% 22.93 shares
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No 20% 65 shares
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No 24% 416.67 shares
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No 32% 15.63 shares
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No 34% 73.53 shares
- Will Netflix acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?Yes 99.9% 20.02 shares