Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.24K
- Potential profit
- $8.24K
- User PnL
- -$1.28K
Polymarket Trader
TruthSearUm
0x0b8038d1d601910c6f065a930e582fa4220dcdf9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.73K
- Realized PnL
- $38.54K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $607.34
- Potential payout
- $7.15K
- Potential profit
- $6.54K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$96.45
Yes position
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $2.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$67.15
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.36K
- Potential profit
- $2.36K
- User PnL
- -$490.99
No position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- User PnL
- -$89.99
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- User PnL
- -$35.08
Yes position
Obama divorce in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- User PnL
- -$264.27
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$361
Yes position
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $950
- Potential profit
- $950
- User PnL
- -$190
No position
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $851.63
- Potential profit
- $851.63
- User PnL
- -$127
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $850.62
- Potential profit
- $850.62
- User PnL
- -$89.19
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $739.36
- Potential profit
- $739.36
- User PnL
- -$201.6
Yes position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $616.29
- Potential profit
- $616.29
- User PnL
- -$172.56
Yes position
Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $428.57
- Potential profit
- $428.57
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $397.83
- Potential profit
- $397.83
- User PnL
- -$71.61
Yes position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $390.55
- Potential profit
- $390.55
- User PnL
- -$51.93
Yes position
Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $304.66
- Potential profit
- $304.66
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $256.25
- Potential profit
- $256.25
- User PnL
- -$155
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $245.62
- Potential profit
- $245.62
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $244
- Potential profit
- $244
- User PnL
- -$127
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.46K
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.91K
Yes position
Will Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97K
Yes position
Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79K
Yes position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $991.06
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $914.1
Yes position
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $802.61
Yes position
Will the Republican candidate win Arizona by 4.0% or more?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $774.26
Yes position
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $523.94
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $476.74
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $420.48
Yes position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $393.12
Yes position
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390.43
Yes position
Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 10.0% or more?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $374.52
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $341.04
No position
Will Michelle Obama attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.36
Yes position
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.14
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.91
Yes position
Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.11
No position
Will Harris win New Jersey by 10+ points?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Yes 40.2% 100.11 shares
- Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Yes 21% 4.76 shares
- Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Yes 21% 23.81 shares
- Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Yes 21% 23.81 shares
- Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Yes 20.9% 23.92 shares
- Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Yes 21% 23.81 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.3% 60.24 shares
- Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?No 3.5% 28.21 shares
- Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?No 5.2% 76.81 shares
- Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?No 5.3% 281.83 shares
- Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?No 5.5% 18.19 shares
- Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?No 5.2% 19.23 shares