Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $331.68
- Potential payout
- $366.49
- Potential profit
- $34.82
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $86.13
Polymarket Trader
MistHill
0x0b860f9b071bb96a071b10a2c636361e5b41bd28
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $331.68
- Realized PnL
- $1.63K
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $557.09
Yes position
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.98
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.11
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.95
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.19
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.29
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.33
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.14
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.85
Yes position
Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.26
No position
Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.05
Egypt position
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.12
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $1.86
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Switzerland position
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.78
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24.64
Yes position
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$92
Yes position
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$146.11
No position
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 20+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?
Ends Sep 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$212.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 67% 366.49 shares
- Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?Yes 49% 265.31 shares
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceSwitzerland 22.8% 392.15 shares
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceSwitzerland 25.5% 392.16 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes 39% 193.23 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes 51.7% 193.24 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes 90.2% 389.26 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes 27% 185.19 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes 49% 204.08 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-05?Yes 99.9% 454.54 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-05?Yes 88% 454.55 shares
- Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?Yes 25% 100 shares