Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$406
Polymarket Trader
winner123
@AvidInvesting
0x0b97c6b3e2eedcf896b0d2c8d9b8a9caa0390efe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.88K
- Realized PnL
- $8.66K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $477.74
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $595.83
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$37.58
No position
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $765
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $235
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$95
Yes position
Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$830
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$410
No position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$830
No position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$460
No position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $823.24
- Potential profit
- $823.24
- User PnL
- -$728
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $240
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $260
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $30
Kansas City Royals position
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$120
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 24, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.9%
- Current value
- $389.83
- Potential payout
- $470.24
- Potential profit
- $80.41
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$15.55
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" 10+ times during Cabinet meeting?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $362.41
- Potential profit
- $362.41
- User PnL
- -$180
No position
Will Trump say "MAGA" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $260
- Potential profit
- $260
- User PnL
- -$174.2
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$6.6
No position
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$119.99
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$108
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$47
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$85.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will Bernie say "Coffee" in Maine?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$23.1
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "UFC" this week?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63
- Potential profit
- $63
- User PnL
- -$44.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $541.94
Yes position
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $408.01
Yes position
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $366.3
No position
Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $358.21
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $357.23
No position
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.2
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $290
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid hit $50 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.64
No position
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265
Yes position
WLFI market cap (FDV) >$16B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.72
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.58
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.05
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $197
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192
No position
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $181.34
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- $180
No position
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.38
No position
VOOI FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.67
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163
Yes position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.43
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "UFC" this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the announcers say "Armbar" or "Arm Bar" during UFC 250?Yes 99.9% 26.03 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes 7% 2,142.86 shares
- Will the announcers say "Nasty" during UFC 250?Yes 99.9% 48.05 shares
- Will the announcers say "Nasty" during UFC 250?Yes 98.5% 218.74 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during Tele-Rallies?Yes 99.9% 29.03 shares
- Will Trump say "Biden" 2+ times during Tele-Rallies?Yes 99.9% 49.05 shares
- Will Trump say "Citizenship" during Tele-Rallies?No 35.3% 56.59 shares
- Will Trump say "Hottest" during Tele-Rallies?Yes 61.5% 65 shares
- Will Trump say "Transgender" during Tele-Rallies?Yes 59% 42.37 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during Tele-Rallies?Yes 77.9% 42.34 shares
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Wisconsin events?Yes 99.9% 50 shares
- Will Trump say "Egg" during Wisconsin events?Yes 99.9% 40 shares