Polymarket Trader

Kayceesteph

0x0b9a25c38c536f7e7faeaadf8045d8de8f31d1a0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0.35
Realized PnL: $50.4
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $14.11
Potential profit: $13.77
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$4.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.13
Potential profit: $12.13
User PnL: -$4.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 35.4% 14.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 12% 10.63 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 47% 10.64 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 15.15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 33% 15.15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?

Yes 40% 11.75 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?

No 60% 19.6 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?

No 60% 19.2 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Yes 24% 6.93 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Yes 42% 6.73 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Yes 47.4% 27.25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Yes 73.4% 27.25 shares