Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.43K
- Potential profit
- $20.43K
- User PnL
- -$3.45K
Polymarket Trader
Quantollah
0x0b9d9c3bb66645c0fe62e9d496f5f07cae058201
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.54K
- Realized PnL
- $29.78K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $8.59K
- Potential payout
- $14.43K
- Potential profit
- $5.85K
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$1.32K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.8K
- Potential profit
- $13.8K
- User PnL
- -$10.08K
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $113.36
- Potential payout
- $13.34K
- Potential profit
- $13.22K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$2.12
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.37K
- Potential profit
- $12.37K
- User PnL
- -$5.42K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.91K
- Potential profit
- $5.91K
- User PnL
- -$1.62K
Yes position
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $590.4
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.61K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $75.2
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $439.99
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.76K
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$84.52
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.6%
- Current value
- $259.55
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 8.66x
- User PnL
- $59.55
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$525
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.57
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$48.37
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $540
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $460
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $15.85
- Potential payout
- $905.64
- Potential profit
- $889.79
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$471.82
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $71.87
- Potential payout
- $845.52
- Potential profit
- $773.65
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$38.05
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $731.99
- Potential profit
- $731.99
- User PnL
- -$197.64
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $478.12
- Potential payout
- $659.48
- Potential profit
- $181.36
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $38.88
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $456.19
- Potential profit
- $456.19
- User PnL
- -$30.75
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $398
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- $226
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $287.12
- Potential profit
- $287.12
- User PnL
- -$120.59
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.42
- Potential payout
- $142.43
- Potential profit
- $141.01
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$39.12
Yes position
Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $122.73
- Potential profit
- $122.73
- User PnL
- -$18.62
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.8%
- Current value
- $41.88
- Potential payout
- $55.99
- Potential profit
- $14.11
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $28.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8K
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $979.68
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $920.84
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $789.98
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $676.1
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $620.39
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $618.66
Yes position
Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $582
No position
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $561.14
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $526.94
Yes position
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 1?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $518.32
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $428.43
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $418.41
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $393.95
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $354.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 62.4% 2,517.18 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 16.6% 300.6 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 70% 15 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 70% 1,795 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 70% 40.2 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 27% 499.77 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 27% 315.67 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 22.7% 1,486.16 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?No 32.6% 165 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes 39.6% 5 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.9% 2,247.19 shares
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 5,000 shares