Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $500.73
- Potential payout
- $599.68
- Potential profit
- $98.95
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.73
Polymarket Trader
Picksell
0x0b9ee332cef4ace68b10a546475af5cbf331154a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.13K
- Realized PnL
- $1.83K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $13.05
- Potential payout
- $513.97
- Potential profit
- $500.92
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$7.96
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $301.4
- Potential payout
- $310.88
- Potential profit
- $9.48
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Maryland governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $10.22
- Potential payout
- $283.97
- Potential profit
- $273.75
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$9.78
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $246.32
- Potential payout
- $273.85
- Potential profit
- $27.52
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $36.33
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.6%
- Current value
- $103.39
- Potential payout
- $261.1
- Potential profit
- $157.7
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $3.39
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $144.62
- Potential payout
- $251.52
- Potential profit
- $106.89
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$29.38
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $207.05
- Potential payout
- $210.53
- Potential profit
- $3.47
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $7.05
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $169.02
- Potential payout
- $190.99
- Potential profit
- $21.96
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $49.02
Yes position
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $165.77
- Potential profit
- $165.69
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$109.92
Yes position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $52.5
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $72.5
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$47.5
Yes position
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $120.42
- Potential payout
- $120.48
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $20.42
No position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $116.02
- Potential payout
- $119.92
- Potential profit
- $3.9
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $16.02
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $102.36
- Potential payout
- $102.77
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- User PnL
- $2.36
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.01
- Potential profit
- $84.01
- User PnL
- -$15.12
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $5.84
- Potential payout
- $77.92
- Potential profit
- $72.08
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$14.16
Yes position
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.8
- Potential profit
- $46.8
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $40.23
- Potential payout
- $40.98
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $23.09
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$19.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 36°C on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.33
- Potential profit
- $13.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.26
Yes position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 9?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.54
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.18
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.17
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on February 9?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.7
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $91.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -5°C on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.44
Yes position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
Yes position
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.12
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.33
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.4
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.22
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.45
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.79
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.1
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $52.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.87
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.06
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50.92
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -3°C on February 8?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.8
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Yes 83% 120.48 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97.6% 40.98 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 97.3% 102.77 shares
- Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 97% 68.72 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 95% 210.53 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 96.5% 478.97 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 82% 121.95 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 96.5% 310.88 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 93% 215.05 shares
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?Yes 93% 32.26 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 93% 10.75 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 99.4% 74.85 shares