Yes position
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $179.6
- Potential profit
- $179.6
- User PnL
- -$110
Polymarket Trader
Chesco11
@FrancescoFalah
0x0ba75462946d8f56b31df72980983f09c1a20d63
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.1
- Realized PnL
- $260
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.64
- Potential profit
- $93.64
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.73
- Potential profit
- $90.73
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.86
- Potential profit
- $76.86
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.76
- Potential profit
- $70.76
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.11
- Potential profit
- $56.11
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.33
- Potential profit
- $53.33
- User PnL
- -$25.7
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.75
- Potential profit
- $52.75
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.94
- Potential profit
- $41.94
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.13
- Potential profit
- $25.13
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will No Man's Sky win Labor of Love at the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.3
- Potential profit
- $24.3
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.33
- Potential profit
- $22.33
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $8.6
- Potential payout
- $21.23
- Potential profit
- $12.63
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.74
- Potential profit
- $19.74
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $18.52
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.65
- Potential profit
- $17.65
- User PnL
- -$3
Y
Yes position
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.66
- Potential payout
- $15.8
- Potential profit
- $14.14
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.34
Yes position
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $15.15
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $14.71
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.49
- Potential profit
- $14.49
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $13.16
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
"The Smashing Machine" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 80 and 89?
Ends Oct 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.04
- Potential profit
- $13.04
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $11.97
- Multiplier
- 15.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.5
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.99
Yes position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $15.36
Yes position
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.35
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.8
Yes position
"Him" Rotten Tomatoes score is less than 80?
Ends Sep 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.63
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Independent Game at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.82
Yes position
Will "Sinners" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
Yes position
Will Robert Irwin & Witney Carson win Dancing with the Stars Season 34?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
Yes position
Will “Nobody Wants This” be the top global Netflix show this week? (October 28)
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
Supah Hot position
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.43
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.23
Yes position
Will “Frankenstein” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.99
Yes position
Will “A House of Dynamite” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (October 28)
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.62
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Soundtrack in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.07
Yes position
Will Baldur's Gate 3 win Labor of Love at the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Team Liquid position
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by September 5?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.57
Yes position
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
Yes position
Will PEAK win Better With Friends at the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
Yes position
Will Kai Cenat hit 1m Twitch subscribers during MAFIATHON 3?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42
Yes position
Will "Hamnet" win Outstanding British Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33
Yes position
Will "One Battle After Another" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?
Ends Sep 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "The Odyssey" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 91% 5.49 shares
- Will "The Odyssey" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 79% 6.33 shares
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?Yes 41% 2.44 shares
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?Yes 25.6% 7.8 shares
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?Yes 25% 8 shares
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?Yes 18% 11.11 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 93% 10.75 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 97.5% 5.32 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 98.7% 6.02 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 93.9% 5.32 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 90% 5.56 shares
- Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes 97.1% 41.56 shares