Polymarket Trader

joeblack00

0x0ba813c3c72550518654f17ca2af28dd88f5e4e4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $180.13
Realized PnL: $597.86
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $36.08
Potential payout: $515.45
Potential profit: $479.37
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: $8.89

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $420
Potential profit: $420
User PnL: -$9.42

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $125.55
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $144.45
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $53.92

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $18.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $81.5
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75%
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $88.37

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.03

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $66.08

No position

Lighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.83

Down position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.59

No position

Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.4

No position

Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 81.5%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $20.19

No position

Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.67

No position

Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.85

No position

Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.18

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 41%
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $12.24

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.86

Yes position

Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.85

3DMAX position

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MIBR (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group B

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.14

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.65

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.61

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.71

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 78.5%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $7.84

Team Falcons PH position

Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid PH vs Team Falcons PH (BO7) - MPL Philippines Playoffs

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.45

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48%
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $6.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Mobile Legends Bang Bang: The Soulless Team vs HARD GRIND - Game 2 Winner

The Soulless Team 0.1% 811 shares
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-9.5) vs NRG (+9.5)

BIG 1% 250 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 5?

No 0.5% 5 shares
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs

Phantom 1% 100 shares
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Suplex Team vs Omnix (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 2nd Division

Suplex Team 0.1% 350 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 5?

No 1% 114.53 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on June 5?

Yes 0.1% 150 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on June 5?

Yes 0.1% 420.16 shares
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Invictus Gaming vs Selangor Red Giants (BO5) - MPL Malaysia Playoffs

Invictus Gaming 0.1% 250 shares
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Vamos vs Bigetron MY by VIT (BO5) - MPL Malaysia Playoffs

Bigetron MY by VIT 0.1% 708.52 shares
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Vamos vs Bigetron MY by VIT (BO5) - MPL Malaysia Playoffs

Bigetron MY by VIT 0.1% 775 shares
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Vamos vs Bigetron MY by VIT (BO5) - MPL Malaysia Playoffs

Bigetron MY by VIT 0.2% 260 shares