No position
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.34
- Potential profit
- $9.34
- User PnL
- -$7.1
Polymarket Trader
ujmoharry
0x0bae61b2f74771d6c7412974675018c495421780
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $50.17
- Realized PnL
- $32.18
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.93
- Potential profit
- $6.93
- User PnL
- -$5.2
No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.7%
- Current value
- $5.92
- Potential payout
- $6.75
- Potential profit
- $0.83
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $5.78
- Potential payout
- $6.42
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $5.57
- Potential payout
- $5.94
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.33
- Potential profit
- $5.33
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $4.7
- Potential payout
- $4.89
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.53
- Potential profit
- $4.53
- User PnL
- -$3.9
No position
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $4.38
- Potential payout
- $4.43
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $4.02
- Potential payout
- $4.25
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $3.84
- Potential payout
- $4.05
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $3.73
- Potential payout
- $3.91
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $3.88
- Potential payout
- $3.9
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.18
- Potential profit
- $3.18
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $3.11
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.1
- Potential payout
- $3.1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2.15
- Potential payout
- $2.15
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.65
- Potential profit
- $1.65
- User PnL
- -$1.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.65
No position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
X Money released by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Tesla dip to $300 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 10?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 98.3% 0.68 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 98% 0.27 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No 98.4% 5.4 shares
- China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No 90% 6.42 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 95.8% 2.42 shares
- Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?No 91% 2.1 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 95.2% 2.51 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 88.9% 6.75 shares
- Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?No 87% 6.01 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 10?No 95.7% 2.56 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No 86% 4.53 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?No 98.1% 4.08 shares