Polymarket Trader

Francescocashmore

0x0bb3209ef5698b9bac493f8a713c9bd4b8ad521b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $28.71
Realized PnL: $295.2
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.72K
Potential profit: $10.72K
User PnL: -$68.1

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $4.61
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $258.55
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $24.11
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $154.46
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.89

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.28
Potential profit: $99.28
User PnL: -$50.08

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.79
Potential profit: $17.79
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.57
Potential profit: $17.57
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.73

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.27

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.32

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.58

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.06

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.86

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $14.94

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.77

Yes position

Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.61

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.95

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.84

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.3

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.1

No position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.6%
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Nothing Ever Happens: July

Something 13% 0.33 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?

No 33.6% 645.16 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: July

Something 12.2% 33 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: July

Something 15% 33.33 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?

Yes 14% 178.57 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?

No 31% 645.16 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?

No 29.4% 348 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?

No 29.9% 348 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 1.9% 263.16 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Yes 90% 306.5 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Yes 83.7% 250.95 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 89.7% 214.06 shares