Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.58
- Potential payout
- $243
- Potential profit
- $241.42
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Polymarket Trader
anhhtvaxl4wm
0x0bc5aef547761739846f779f391747a9f9ec8b88
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $87.21
- Realized PnL
- $200.46
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $2.82
- Potential payout
- $45.85
- Potential profit
- $43.03
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $35.34
- Potential profit
- $32.34
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$2.43
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $33.16
- Potential payout
- $35.3
- Potential profit
- $2.14
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $8.4
No position
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $5.32
- Potential payout
- $20.84
- Potential profit
- $15.53
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$3.74
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $15.47
- Potential profit
- $14.62
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$5.35
No position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $3.82
- Potential payout
- $8.79
- Potential profit
- $4.96
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $4.33
- Potential payout
- $6.71
- Potential profit
- $2.38
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $2.85
- Potential payout
- $6.62
- Potential profit
- $3.77
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $5.48
- Potential profit
- $0.79
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $3.58
- Potential payout
- $4.12
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $1.62
- Potential payout
- $3.73
- Potential profit
- $2.11
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.05
- Potential profit
- $3.05
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.45
No position
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $1.24
- Potential payout
- $2.92
- Potential profit
- $1.68
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $2.48
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $2.49
- Potential payout
- $2.85
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.9%
- Current value
- $2.34
- Potential payout
- $2.73
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $2.73
- Potential profit
- $1.54
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $2.61
- Potential payout
- $2.7
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $1.4
- Potential payout
- $2.65
- Potential profit
- $1.24
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
N
No position
Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $1.87
- Potential payout
- $2.41
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $2.22
- Potential profit
- $0.94
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $1.74
- Potential payout
- $1.83
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $1.36
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Spurs
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.96
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $35.93
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.12
Hurricanes position
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.66
Saigon Warriors position
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.04
Hurricanes position
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.71
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.63
LOUD position
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.48
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.19
Movistar KOI Fénix position
LoL: Barça eSports vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Playoffs
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.36
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.11
UCAM Esports Club position
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.64
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84
E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS position
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68
Under position
Games Total: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54
Conviction position
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Hurricanes position
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Canadiens position
Canadiens vs. Sabres
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
Under position
Games Total: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds 42% 2.88 shares
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds 42% 2.52 shares
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds 42% 14.45 shares
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds 42% 42.86 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?Yes 58% 26.48 shares
- Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Yes 44% 3.73 shares
- Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?No 39% 2.92 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 26% 4.23 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 38% 6.58 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 55% 2.22 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 75% 1.36 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 34% 6.71 shares