Polymarket Trader

narua

0x0bd0615e1b600723d3d9408130e4a9b870fd67b0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.93K
Realized PnL: $2.86K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63K
Potential profit: $2.63K
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 89.3%
Current value: $1.5K
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $181.14
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $104.85

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $788.87
Potential payout: $862.15
Potential profit: $73.28
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $88.87

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $366.86
Potential payout: $492.42
Potential profit: $125.57
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $7.86

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $298.03
Potential payout: $394.74
Potential profit: $96.71
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$1.97

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $301.72
Potential payout: $344.83
Potential profit: $43.1
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.72

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $201.43
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $84.29
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $1.43

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $239.74
Potential payout: $256.41
Potential profit: $16.67
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $39.74

No position

Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $206.51
Potential payout: $214.67
Potential profit: $8.16
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $6.51

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $18.44
Potential payout: $18.89
Potential profit: $0.45
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.44

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $937.71

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $348.8

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.71

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.85

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.2

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.14

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.88

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.68

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.11

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.25

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.27

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.92

No position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.87

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $49.12

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.78

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.68

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $34.73

No position

US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.24

No position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.38

No position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.07

No position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.14

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.83

No position

Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.07

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

No 76% 394.74 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 87% 344.83 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 70% 285.71 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

No 73% 140.84 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Yes 82.3% 242.91 shares
Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?

No 88.4% 320.53 shares
Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?

No 93.6% 320.53 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Yes 75.7% 132.1 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Yes 49.1% 623.94 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 73% 217.81 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Yes 56.6% 176.69 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 72.8% 274.62 shares