Y
Yes position
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $31.58
- Potential payout
- $55.41
- Potential profit
- $23.83
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $7.64
Polymarket Trader
0x0bD436B7650f2A2A73152f92258e7c938F61582B-1782840929067
0x0bd436b7650f2a2a73152f92258e7c938f61582b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $114.09
- Realized PnL
- $12.48
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Current value
- $39.78
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $10.23
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $9.77
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $27.03
- Potential payout
- $37.03
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $5.55
No position
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $15.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $4.3
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $2.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will Emily Hawryschuk record the fastest shot at the 2026 WLL All-Star Skills Competition?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.21
N
No position
Will Joey Chestnut Eat 70 or More Hot Dogs at Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026(men's)
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.87
Yes position
Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will LOS Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$1.92
N
No position
Will Shopify Rebellion Black Win North America ACE Stage 3
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
N
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.9%
- Multiplier
- 5.31x
- User PnL
- -$3.94
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$4.7
Y
Yes position
Will Shopify Rebellion Black Win North America ACE Stage 3
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$6.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes 27% 36.14 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?No 18.2% 23.43 shares
- Will LOS Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2Yes 24.4% 20 shares
- Will Emily Hawryschuk record the fastest shot at the 2026 WLL All-Star Skills Competition?Yes 88% 40 shares
- Will Shopify Rebellion Black Win North America ACE Stage 3No 74% 31.2 shares
- Will Shopify Rebellion Black Win North America ACE Stage 3Yes 24% 62.4 shares