Yes position
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $220
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.78K
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.22K
Polymarket Trader
0xcrag
@0xCragHack
0x0bd876c79100f779d2f9f63dbe514b3fc75aa74a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.74K
- Realized PnL
- $21.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $928.38
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $557.03
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$117.44
Yes position
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $517
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $583
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $119
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $780
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $220
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $47.02
- Potential payout
- $854.9
- Potential profit
- $807.88
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$38.47
Yes position
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $140
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $360
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- $35
Yes position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $6.49
- Potential payout
- $432.98
- Potential profit
- $426.48
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.8
- Potential payout
- $400.01
- Potential profit
- $397.21
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$41.2
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $65.5
- Potential payout
- $396.96
- Potential profit
- $331.46
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $5.95
Yes position
Ben Pasternak jailed?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $8.03
- Potential payout
- $126.41
- Potential profit
- $118.38
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$2.72
Yes position
Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $4.32
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $22.68
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $2.43
Yes position
Base FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $11.57
- Potential payout
- $20.31
- Potential profit
- $8.74
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.77
- Potential payout
- $13.14
- Potential profit
- $11.37
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $2.37
- Potential payout
- $10.78
- Potential profit
- $8.41
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- $1.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48K
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93K
Yes position
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
No position
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Yes position
Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $912.02
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $827.21
No position
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $826.16
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $693
No position
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $633.3
Yes position
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $595.13
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $583.8
Yes position
Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $572
Yes position
Football.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $508.36
Yes position
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $452.3
Yes position
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $416.46
No position
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $410.19
Yes position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $392.86
Yes position
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380.46
Yes position
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380
Yes position
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes 5.8% 2,409.64 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes 12% 2,072.64 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes 11% 337 shares
- Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?Yes 1.3% 103.3 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?No 4.9% 45 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No 58.5% 500 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No 35% 500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 27.3% 3,669.25 shares
- MegaETH FDV above $1.8B one day after launch?Yes 3% 5.15 shares
- Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes 37.3% 100 shares
- Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes 80% 250.5 shares
- Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?Yes 4% 528.17 shares