Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.35K
- Potential profit
- $4.35K
- User PnL
- -$999.68
Polymarket Trader
0x0be066de9559f48BC37BA212bFA3EF66adC42354-1770319864609
0x0be066de9559f48bc37ba212bfa3ef66adc42354
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $34.1
- Realized PnL
- $69.31
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$19.5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $8.1
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $591.9
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$23.1
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $26
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $374
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $222.22
- User PnL
- -$40
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.31
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on February 10?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 23% 2,172.52 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 23% 2,173.91 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes 1.5% 1,300 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 5.2% 137.79 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 19% 400 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 99.8% 128.57 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 7% 128.57 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on February 10?Yes 5.6% 180 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?Yes 2.2% 909.09 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 18% 222.22 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Yes 7.5% 267.5 shares